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Trump’s Path to 1,237

I’m not sure if you’ve heard, but a GOP presidential contender must reach 1,237 delegates to win the Republican nomination.

Obviously you know that number because it is repeated multiple times a day by hosts, pundits and experts on just about every news show on television.

This horse race is pretty exciting for political wonks like me, and the news networks hope that it stays competitive so people keep watching.

Unfortunately for the news networks, this race for the GOP nomination will only last about another month.

Donald Trump won’t reach 1,237 by then, but at that point, no one but Trump will have a mathematical chance at reaching that coveted number of delegates.

Right now, the delegate count has Donald Trump in a comfortable lead with 678 delegates. Ted Cruz is at 473, and John Kasich has 143.

There are 1,049 delegates remaining in the states that have yet to hold primaries or caucuses.

John Kasich cannot reach 1,237 even if he won every remaining delegate. No one knows the exact reason why he is still in the race, but most believe it has something to do with trying to force a brokered convention by taking enough delegates away from Trump and Cruz so they do not reach 1,237 either.

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Ted Cruz has to win another 764 delegates to reach 1,237. That means he would have to win 73 percent of the remaining 1,049 delegates still up for grabs in upcoming contests.

Donald Trump has to win 559 more delegates to get to 1,237. He needs to win 53 percent of the remaining 1,049 delegates to secure the nomination before the convention.

That does not mean he has to win 53 percent of the vote…




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